Image by Martin Büdenbender from Pixabay
Image by Martin Büdenbender from Pixabay

Severe diabetes may increase the risk of death from COVID-19

Embargoed until: Publicly released:
Peer-reviewed: This work was reviewed and scrutinised by relevant independent experts.

Meta-analysis: This type of study involves using statistics to combine the data from multiple previous studies to give an overall result. The reliability of a meta-analysis depends on both the quality and similarity of the individual studies being grouped together.

Systematic review: This type of study is a structured approach to reviewing all the evidence to answer a specific question. It can include a meta-analysis which is a statistical method of combining the data from multiple studies to get an overall result.

Observational study: A study in which the subject is observed to see if there is a relationship between two or more things (eg: the consumption of diet drinks and obesity). Observational studies cannot prove that one thing causes another, only that they are linked.

People: This is a study based on research using people.

People with severe or advanced diabetes may have a harder time with COVID-19, and even have a higher risk of death, according to a systematic review and meta-analysis by international researchers. The team analysed 22 studies of over 17,500 people and found that patients using insulin were 75 per cent more likely to die with COVID-19 than non-insulin users, with the authors noting that insulin use indicated more advanced diabetes. Patients using the 'first line' diabetes therapy known as metformin were found to be 50 per cent less likely to die from COVID-19 than non-metformin users, however. The study also found that men with diabetes were 28 per cent more likely to die with COVID-19 than women with diabetes, and people aged over 65 with diabetes were more than three times more likely to die than those under that age with diabetes.

Journal/conference: Diabetologia

Link to research (DOI): 10.1007/s00125-021-05458-8

Organisation/s: Heinrich Heine University, Germany

Funder: Open Access funding enabled and organized by Projekt DEAL. The German Diabetes Center (DDZ) is funded by the German Federal Ministry of Health and the Ministry of Science and Culture of the State North Rhine-Westphalia. This study was supported in part by a grant from the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research to the German Center for Diabetes Research (DZD). The funders had no role in study design or data collection, analysis and interpretation.

Media release

From: Springer Nature

COVID-19: large meta-analysis shows people with more advanced diabetes have higher risk of death from SARS-CoV-2

A new systematic review and meta-analysis published in Diabetologia (the journal of the European Association for the Study of Diabetes [EASD]) shows that patients with a more advanced course of diabetes have a higher risk of death when infected with SARS-CoV-2. The analysis includes 22 studies and 17,687 people and is by Dr Sabrina Schlesinger, German Diabetes Center, Leibniz Center for Diabetes Research at Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Germany, and colleagues.

This is the first edition of a 'living' systematic review and meta-analysis on observational studies investigating phenotypes in individuals with diabetes and COVID-19-related death and severity, which the authors will update periodically as new studies on diabetes and COVID-19 are published.

The review found that associations with COVID-19 related death in people with diabetes were similar to those found in the general population without diabetes. Men with diabetes were 28% more likely to die with COVID-19 than women with diabetes, and people aged over 65 with diabetes were more than three times more likely to die than those under that age with diabetes. With each 5-year increase in age, the relative risk for COVID-19 related death in people living with diabetes increased by 43%.

Only few of the 22 studies investigated diabetes-specific factors related to COVID-19, and the authors call for more studies into these factors to improve the strength of the evidence. The strongest associations were observed for blood glucose levels ?11 mmol/l at admission and death, with an 8.6 times increased risk of death compared to <6 mmol/, with the strength of evidence deemed moderate as it came from just two of the 22 studies.

Patients using insulin to control their diabetes were found (from 5 studies) to be 75% more likely to die with COVID-19 than non-insulin users. Use of insulin usually indicates a more advanced course of diabetes. Conversely, people treating their diabetes with metformin (the 'first line' therapy used in most cases of type 2 diabetes) were 50% less likely to die with COVID-19 than those not using metformin (from 4 studies).

As with the general population without diabetes, pre-existing conditions were found to increase the risk of COVID-19 related death in those with diabetes. Cardiovascular disease (by 56%, 8 studies), chronic kidney disease (by 93%, 6 studies) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (by 40%, 5 studies) all increased risk of COVID-19-related death in people living with diabetes.

The authors say: "In conclusion, our living systemic review and meta-analysis provides the best current evidence on associations between phenotypes of individuals with diabetes and confirmed SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 related death and severity of COVID-19."

They add: "Male sex, older age and some pre-existing conditions, as well as the use of insulin, most of which are potential indicators for a more progressive course of diabetes, were associated with increased risk of COVID-19 related death and severity in individuals with diabetes and SARS-CoV-2 infection, whereas metformin use was associated with a lower risk of death."

They conclude: "To strengthen the evidence, more primary studies investigating diabetes-specific risk factors, such type and duration of diabetes or additional pre-existing conditions, and accounting for important variables, are needed. We will continuously update this report to strengthen the evidence of already examined associations and to investigate further outcomes, such as long-term complications due to COVID-19 for individuals with diabetes."

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