A handful of microplastics washed ashore at Kamilo Beach, Hawaii.    Image Credit: The 5 Gyres Institute, CC-BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)
A handful of microplastics washed ashore at Kamilo Beach, Hawaii. Image Credit: The 5 Gyres Institute, CC-BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/)

EXPERT REACTION: 170 trillion bits of plastic are floating on the world’s oceans thanks to 'unprecedented' increase

Embargoed until: Publicly released:
Peer-reviewed: This work was reviewed and scrutinised by relevant independent experts.

There has been a rapid and unprecedented increase in ocean plastics since 2005, according to a global dataset of ocean plastic pollution between 1979 and 2019. The study, which includes an Australian among its authors, estimates 82-358 trillion plastic particles (mean = 171 trillion plastic particles, primarily microplastics), weighing between 1.1-4.9 million tons (mean = 2.3 million tons) were floating on the surface of the ocean in 2019. The researchers call for urgent legally binding international policies to minimise the ecological, social, and economic harm of aquatic plastic pollution.

Journal/conference: PLOS ONE

Research: Paper

Organisation/s: The 5 Gyres Institute, USA, Minderoo Foundation

Funder: ME received funding from the Baum Foundation to support expeditions and sample collection (http://thebaumfoundation.org/). MT was supported by the European Union’s H2020 research and innovation programme MINKE project (under Grant Agreement No 101008724).

Media release

From: PLOS

Rate of plastic entering the oceans could accelerate 2.6 times by 2040 if left unchecked

A global dataset of ocean plastic pollution between 1979 and 2019 reveals a rapid and unprecedented increase in ocean plastics since 2005, according to a study published March 8, 2023 in the open-access journal PLOS ONE by Marcus Eriksen from The 5 Gyres Institute, USA, and colleagues. 

Understanding plastic accumulation in the oceans to date could provide a critical baseline to help address this form of pollution. Previous studies have focused primarily on northern-hemisphere oceans near the world’s most industrialized nations, while other studies have found increases in ocean plastic over shorter time periods. 

In this study, Eriksen and colleagues looked at data on ocean-surface-level plastic pollution collected between 1979-2019 from 11,777 stations across six marine regions (North Atlantic, South Atlantic, North Pacific, South Pacific, Indian, and Mediterranean). 

After accounting for wind, site selection, and biases due to under-sampling, the authors’ model showed a significant and rapid increase since 2005 of the global ocean abundance and distribution of plastics in the ocean surface layer. An estimated 82-358 trillion plastic particles (mean = 171 trillion plastic particles, primarily microplastics), weighing between 1.1-4.9 million tons (mean = 2.3 million tons) were afloat in 2019. A relative lack of data from 1979-1990 prevented trend analysis during this period, while between 1990 and 2004 plastic levels showed fluctuations with no clear trend. 

Though these results are biased towards trends in the North Pacific and North Atlantic, where the majority of the data was collected, Eriksen and coauthors suggest the rapid increase from 2005 reflects the global growth of plastic production, or changes in waste generation and management. Without widespread policy changes, the researchers predict the rate at which plastics enter our waters will increase approximately 2.6 times by 2040. They call for urgent legally binding international policy intervention to minimize the ecological, social, and economic harm of aquatic plastic pollution.

Marcus Eriksen, co-founder and researcher from The 5 Gyres Institute, adds: "We've found an alarming trend of exponential growth of microplastics in the global ocean since the millennium, reaching over 170 trillion plastic particles. This is a stark warning that we must act now at a global scale. We need a strong, legally binding UN Global Treaty on plastic pollution that stops the problem at the source."

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Expert Reaction

These comments have been collated by the Science Media Centre to provide a variety of expert perspectives on this issue. Feel free to use these quotes in your stories. Views expressed are the personal opinions of the experts named. They do not represent the views of the SMC or any other organisation unless specifically stated.

Laureate Professor Ravi Naidu is Managing Director and CEO of crcCARE and Founding Director of the University of Newcastle's Global Centre for Environmental Remediation

This week’s PLOS ONE paper by Marcus Eriksen and others on the growing plastic smog should further raise the alarm that plastic is far from fantastic.

Using samples from 11,000 ocean sites, including the Australian coastline, the authors report a concerning rise in ocean plastic since 1990 and a rapid increase since 2005.

Scientists had estimated between 93,000 and 578,000 tonnes of plastic in the ocean. The new estimate, of up to 5 million tonnes of plastic particles, is the equivalent weight of 100 Titanics.

Microplastics are an emerging contaminant in the world’s oceans, breaking down from larger plastic waste (including bags, bottles and cigarette butts). Our oceans (including seafood) are seething with disintegrating plastic particles. Plastic nanoparticles are particularly dangerous, as they can penetrate almost any body part, including the brain. Nanoparticles can cause harm over alarmingly long timescales.

Without urgent international action, the rate of plastics entering oceans will increase 2.6-fold by 2040. Dangerous plastic chemical emissions cross international boundaries, so we need a global plan. We must act now to protect ourselves, the planet and future generations.

Last updated: 18 Aug 2023 12:09pm
Declared conflicts of interest:
None declared.
Associate Professor Thava Palanisami is from the Environmental Plastics Innovation Cluster (EPIC) at the University of Newcastle

Evidence on the environmental and human health issues related to plastic exposure is mounting. It is pivotal to have a precise, time series data on plastic pollution. This article adds timely data that will be helpful to improve the accuracy of the risk and implement management measures.

Last updated: 08 Mar 2023 2:27pm
Declared conflicts of interest:
None declared.
Dr Charlene Trestrail is an ecotoxicologist.

This study suggests that there is much more plastic pollution floating in the oceans than we previously thought. This means that we have been underestimating the scale of marine plastic pollution. This study shows us how big the problem really is. 

Many pieces of ocean plastics are microplastics, measuring less than half a millimetre in diameter. Many beachgoers will have seen microplastics washed up on our beaches – some microplastics are big enough to see with the naked eye, but many are so small that they are difficult to see without a microscope. 

Microplastics are a problem because they are mistaken for food and eaten by small marine animals, like mussels, oysters, and shrimp. Once eaten, microplastics can wreak havoc on an animal’s internal tissues. Microplastics interfere with the production of digestive enzymes in the stomach, damage the intestines, and leak potentially harmful chemicals inside animals’ digestive tracts. 

The study shows that the number of ocean plastics has rapidly increased since around 2006. Some of this pollution is due to our consumer choices: every piece of plastic we dispose of has the potential to escape from waste streams and enter our oceans, where it fragments into countless microplastics that harm marine life.

Last updated: 18 Aug 2023 12:09pm
Declared conflicts of interest:
None declared.
Dr Paul Harvey is an environmental scientist (pollution specialist) and science communicator. He is the owner of Environmental Science Solutions, and often engages with audiences under the name "Doc PJ Harvey"

The numbers in this new research are staggeringly phenomenal and almost beyond comprehension. The mind boggles imagining what 4.9 million tonnes of plastic would look like. Globally, we have reached a point where we can no longer ignore the plastic pollution pandemic that is infecting our oceans.

This research shows us that beach clean-ups and citizen science projects that focus on the environmental fate of plastics have little impact on solving the enormity of the plastic problem. It is time for policymakers, governments, and businesses to wake up and take the issue seriously. Solutions that are applied across the material lifecycle are the only way to solve the plastic pollution crisis and prevent more loss to the environment.

Last updated: 18 Aug 2023 12:10pm
Declared conflicts of interest:
None declared.
Oliver Jones is Professor of Chemistry at RMIT University in Melbourne, Australia

This study is part research and part call-to-action on the issue of plastics in the oceans. We have known for some time that the amount of plastic in the ocean is increasing, and this paper gives an idea of just how much. The authors have been pretty thorough, and I think their modelling approach is a useful way of trying to understand the potential scale of the problem. I also liked how they showed that in the past policy interventions were successful, to some extent, in reducing the amount of plastic ending up in the Ocean.

While the headline about 170 trillion particles sounds, and to some extent is, scary, as the authors rightly point out, this work is a best guess. There are large variations in the model due to a lack of data from parts of the world and some limitations in the statistical methods used.

The work also only reports on how much plastic might be present over time, it doesn’t attempt to assess what effects they may have.

Much as we tend to hate on plastics, we might also remember that they are made for a reason, and they do have benefits. They protect our food from spoilage for instance and insulate our homes, and, while we don’t do a good job of it, they can be recycled. 

That said, I do agree with the authors that plastics in the environment is an important issue that isn’t going away and as such is something that the global scientific community, industry, and politicians should start to work together on solving sooner rather than later.

Last updated: 18 Aug 2023 12:11pm
Declared conflicts of interest:
Although they have never met face to face, Oliver declares he was a co-author on a 2020 paper on microplastics with the second author of this study (Dr Wim Cowger).
Dr Amy Heffernan is a Principal Scientist for CIS - Control Union Australia, and is an Adjunct Senior Research Fellow at The University of Queensland

This is a well-designed global study that analyses data on ocean plastics over the last four decades. Since 2005 there has been a rapid and consistent increase in the amount of plastic measured at the surface of the ocean. Prior to 2005 there were no clear trends, and before 1990 there was relatively little data available.

The latest estimate (for 2019) was 170 trillion plastic particles; that is the equivalent of 500,000 elephants floating in our oceans worldwide. Without significant intervention, we can expect this number to increase. 

What’s particularly concerning is that most of these particles are microplastics. As well as being a physical danger to marine life, microplastics also act as tiny sponges that can transport chemical pollution through our oceans too. Microplastics are more difficult to remove from waterways than larger debris. Whats more, large pieces of plastic continue to break down into multiple, smaller microplastics as they age, making the problem worse. 

The increase since 2005 is likely due to an increase in demand for plastic goods combined with the degradation of macro plastics.

Last updated: 18 Aug 2023 12:11pm
Declared conflicts of interest:
Amy is an employee of Eurofins Scientific who offer commercial testing services for microplastics in environmental and consumer samples.

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