Expert Reaction

EXPERT REACTION: Major earthquakes stop with a jolt, causing whiplash for buildings

Publicly released:
New Zealand; International
Damage from 2010 Darfield earthquake in Beckenham. Credit: Greg O'Beirne, CC BY 2.0 <https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0>, via Wikimedia Commons
Damage from 2010 Darfield earthquake in Beckenham. Credit: Greg O'Beirne, CC BY 2.0 <https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0>, via Wikimedia Commons

NZ-led research into large earthquakes shows that they stop fast, with a sharp backwards movement. Scientists studied 12 major earthquakes where movement was mainly along the ground rather than up and down, using shaking data recorded within several kilometres of the faults. They found that the whiplash-type stop was a common feature of the earthquakes, which included the 2010 Darfield and 2016 Kaikōura quakes, and say it should be included in hazard assessments.

News release

From: Victoria University of Wellington

How do large earthquakes stop? New study shines light on one of the big questions in quake research

A new study of 12 major earthquakes around the globe—including two big events in Aotearoa New Zealand—provides fresh evidence to show how big quakes stop and how this can significantly affect buildings.

The study investigated large strike-slip earthquakes that move land sideways, rather than up or down. It found these quakes came to a halt abruptly, instead of slowly decelerating, and discovered a previously unrecognised “stopping phase”.

“Many of us will know a quake starts when a fault line ruptures. Perhaps less well known is that the size of a quake depends on where and when this rupture stops. In our study, we’ve identified a distinct ‘stopping phase’ that can be detected in the ground movement at the end of big quakes,” said lead author Dr Jesse Kearse, a researcher in earth sciences at Te Herenga Waka—Victoria University of Wellington.

This stopping phase is caused by a sudden jolt in the opposite direction to the movement of the fault itself—like a “whiplash” effect.

The study findings have important implications for understanding the effects of earthquakes on buildings and other large structures in urban areas.

“The sharp backwards motion of the stopping phase can be huge, up to a metre in the case of the magnitude 7.8 Kaikōura quake in 2016. These large movements that occur at the end of the fault are likely to be a generic feature of large strike-slip earthquakes and so need to be accounted for in hazard models,” said Dr Kearse.

The stopping process itself is largely hidden from view beneath the ground. But by examining seismic recordings taken from near to where these big quakes halted, the researchers were able to discover the stopping phase—essentially the sound of the quake coming to an abrupt halt.

“This distinct sound hasn’t been noticed in many past earthquakes because of the limited number of seismic recorders capturing what’s happening. Our study has been able to make use of the growing capability of modern seismic networks that record details of quake events,” said Dr Kearse.

Results of the study also indicate large strike-slip quakes occur in a “cascade”, with movement along multiple segments of the fault.

“Strike-slip fault systems, such as the Alpine Fault in the South Island, are made up of a series of discrete segments. These segments may break independently in moderate-sized events, or link together in a larger quake that extends across hundreds of kilometres.

“Whether a quake remains confined to a single fault segment or grows into a multi-segment, large magnitude event ultimately depends on whether the quake stops before spreading across segment boundaries,” he said.

Expert Reaction

These comments have been collated by the Science Media Centre to provide a variety of expert perspectives on this issue. Feel free to use these quotes in your stories. Views expressed are the personal opinions of the experts named. They do not represent the views of the SMC or any other organisation unless specifically stated.

Dr Jesse Kearse, Research Fellow in Earth Science, Victoria University of Wellington, is lead author of this paper

"In this study, we looked closely at recordings from big earthquakes, including the 2016 Kaikōura earthquake, and found something new in the data.

"Right at the end of the quakes, the ground jolts strongly, creating a kind of extra shake. It’s a bit like when you’re in a car and the driver brakes hard; your body jerks forward and then snaps back as the car stops.

"This means that big earthquakes stop suddenly, rather than slowly dying out.

"This sudden stop can cause a whiplash effect for buildings. As the ground quickly changes direction, buildings sway one way and then snap back the other way. That sharp backwards motion can be large, up to 1 meter in the case of the 2016 Kaikōura earthquake. Such big movements can be difficult for tall buildings to withstand.

"By identifying this stopping phase, we can better predict these final jolts. We found that they are most likely to occur where there are bends or gaps in the fault lines, which helps us plan for these strong whiplash motions that happen in large earthquakes."

Last updated:  23 Apr 2026 8:23am
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Declared conflicts of interest Dr Kearse is lead author of this paper.

Professor Charles Clifton, Professor of Civil Engineering, University of Auckland

"We do design for these near fault effects in quite a few locations where specified in the Earthquake Loadings Standard, and this paper opens up more locations adjacent to a fault rupture where this “fault fling” effect, as it is sometimes called, is reported to occur.

"The design and detailing of new buildings in near fault regions is effectively the same as for buildings not in designated near fault regions, so we already design and detail our buildings to accommodate this effect, given that we don’t know in advance which fault will rupture. Many well designed, detailed and built new buildings withstood these effects in the recent severe earthquakes from 2010 to 2016 which were not in already designated regions for near fault design; this includes steel framed buildings with concrete slabs on steel decking and supported on a network of steel beams.

"This type of motion will subject these multistorey buildings to large displacements, with the potential to cause additional damage and our current building earthquake design procedures generally handle these demands well. It may be more of an issue for base isolated buildings not in currently designated near fault regions.

"There is an increasing focus on designing new buildings for increased resilience to the damaging effects of severe earthquakes, and this effect may make that more difficult to fully achieve in more regions adjacent to the strong shaking from a near fault than we currently consider. However, the response of these buildings will be satisfactory from a life safety viewpoint, which is the current requirement of the New Zealand Building Code and I expect this newly documented phenomenon won’t have a significant effect on the overall reliance of modern, well designed and built buildings. It may have a more adverse impact on retrofitted older buildings."

Last updated:  22 Apr 2026 3:20pm
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Declared conflicts of interest "I have no conflict of interest with regard to commenting on this paper."

Dr Yusuke Mochida, Senior Lecturer in Engineering, University of Waikato

"Earthquakes that stop suddenly, or earthquakes in which the ground moves strongly in one direction and then snaps back in the opposite direction, can put a heavy strain on buildings. Tall buildings, such as high‑rise buildings, are especially affected. When the ground moves in this way, these buildings bend like a whip, and the top of the building moves much more than the bottom.

"Buildings are made of strong materials like concrete and steel, but even these materials have limits. They are weak when they are bent or pulled very quickly and by a large amount. If these limits are exceeded, cracks can form and parts of the building can break.

"Even buildings with base‑isolation systems, which are designed to reduce shaking, are not completely safe. If the ground moves more than the system is designed to handle, the isolation system can suddenly stop working. When this happens, a very strong shock can be sent directly into the building. This is similar to what happens to passengers in a car crash: even with seat belts, a sudden stop can cause a strong impact.

"Because of this, it is important to create safety standards that specifically and explicitly consider the effects on buildings of earthquakes with sudden stopping and/or large motions. To protect buildings, it is important to think not only about how strong an earthquake is, but also how quickly and how far the ground moves."

Last updated:  22 Apr 2026 3:25pm
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Declared conflicts of interest "I don't have any conflict of interest with the contents and the authors of the paper."

Dr Shahab Ramhormozian, Associate Professor in Structural and Earthquake Engineering, AUT

"The influence of near fault earthquakes with forward directivity effects on buildings is typically more severe. This is because, in addition to high accelerations, such ground motions often impose large velocity pulses and permanent or near permanent large displacements (i.e. movements/shifts) in one direction, at the base of the buildings. One can imagine pushing building over a relatively large displacement in one direction during a short time interval. These characteristics can potentially lead to increased structural damage and residual displacements/deformations particularly if structural damage occurs in some locations of the structure during the earthquake. This paper mainly talks about observations and behaviour of such earthquakes.

"If an earthquake record, i.e. the shaking on the ground, terminates abruptly, as discussed in this paper, rather than exhibiting a more typical gradual decay (aka “wind down”) in ground motion, it may possibly be more damaging at least in some scenarios. For example, if a building is severely damaged and laterally displaced during a very strong shaking, the wind-down portion of that ground motion and aftershocks may very likely contribute to partial or complete re-centering of the building i.e. reduction of possible residual out of plumbness. The absence of such a decay phase may possibly be less desirable and could result in larger residual deformations, specifically if the building sustained damage during the earthquake resulting in such deformations.

"However, it is worth noting that the influence of a particular earthquake record on buildings, both in degree and in form, depends on several factors, including the dynamic characteristics of both the building and the ground motion. In other words, translating the effect of an earthquake record onto a structure requires consideration of both structural properties and ground motion characteristics. For example, low frequency (i.e. long period and relatively slow) earthquake records with large amplitudes (i.e. maximum values of the ground’s acceleration, velocity, or displacement) are generally and potentially more damaging to long period buildings, such as tall buildings or base isolated buildings, and are typically less critical for short period, stiff buildings which have relatively short natural periods. On the other hand, a high frequency ground motion may be more critical for a “short and stiff” building, and less so for a “tall and flexible” building."

Last updated:  22 Apr 2026 2:35pm
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Multimedia

Video simulation of the “stopping phase” of large strike-slip earthquakes

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Organisation/s: Victoria University of Wellington, Kyoto University
Funder: This work was funded by the Japan Society for the promotion of Science (JSPS), KAKENHI (21H05206, 23K03547, 23K26186) (JK, YK), JST FOREST Program (JPMJFR241C) (YK), Earthquake Research Institute (ERI JURP 2025-S-B103 and 2026-SB104) (YK), and Aotearoa New Zealand Tāwhia te Mana Research Fellowships, administered by the Royal Society Te Apārangi, MTP-VUW2502 (JK).
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