Unemployment is linked to death rates in post-war New Zealand

Publicly released:
New Zealand

New Zealand researchers examined the changes in death rates and the unemployment rate over the post-WWII period. They found that overall, death rates among the elderly have decreased, and the amount by which it decreased accelerated during times of greater unemployment. In contrast, periods of high unemployment were linked with more suicides and assaults that ended in death. This work gives information about correlation, not causation, but can inform what research is needed next - for instance investigating whether elderly mortality is affected by a decline in the quality of aged-care during economic expansions when aged-care workers have more attractive employment options and aged-care facilities suffer from labour shortages.

Media release

From: New Zealand Medical Association (NZMA)

Key Points

  • This paper examines long- and short-run statistical correlations between various mortality rates and macroeconomic unemployment in New Zealand over the post-WWII period.
  • Although elderly mortality rates have been decreasing throughout the post-war period, reductions in elderly mortality accelerate during periods of increasing unemployment.
  • Deaths from suicides and assaults exhibit a positive long-run statistical relationship with the unemployment rate.

Summary

Mortality rates in New Zealand exhibit both short-run procyclical features and long-run countercyclical features. Although elderly mortality rates have been decreasing over the post-war period, reductions in elderly mortality accelerated during periods of increasing unemployment. In contrast, deaths from suicides and assaults exhibited a positive long-run statistical relationship with the unemployment rate, meaning that periods of high unemployment were associated with increased suicides and assaults resulting in death.

Journal/
conference:
New Zealand Medical Journal
Organisation/s: University of Auckland
Funder: N/A
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