The double whammy putting millions more people at risk of tropical cyclones

Publicly released:
International

Global warming is expected to increase tropical cyclone impacts - but the timing of that warming makes a big difference to the impacts when you also account for population growth, according to international research. The study found that 2°C of warming by around 2050, combined with a middle-of-the-road growth scenario, would mean an extra 52 million people are exposed to tropical cyclones. A stronger mitigation scenario reaching 2°C around 2100 limits this increase to 25 million. The authors say rapid climate action would avoid peak temperatures and peak global population growth happening at the same time which would limit climate-change-driven exposure. The authors say cumulatively, over 1.8 billion people could be saved by 2100.

Media release

From:

Attachments

Note: Not all attachments are visible to the general public. Research URLs will go live after the embargo ends.

Research Springer Nature, Web page Please link to the article in online versions of your report (the URL will go live after the embargo ends).
Journal/
conference:
Nature Climate Change
Research:Paper
Organisation/s: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Germany
Funder: T.G. acknowledges funding through the framework of the Leibniz Competition SAW-2016-PIK-1 (ENGAGE) and funding by the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) project FKZ:01LA1829A (SLICE). K.F. acknowledges funding for ISIMIP through the BMBF for research projects 01LS1201A2 (ISIMIP2b) and 01LS1711A (ISIpedia). J.G. acknowledges support from the German Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety (16\_II\_148\_Global\_A\_IMPACT) and from the BMBF (01LS1711A). The content and views presented in this paper are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD).
Media Contact/s
Contact details are only visible to registered journalists.