More than 5000 farms could be isolated after a big Taranaki eruption

Publicly released:
New Zealand
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By Axelspace Corporation - https://www.axelspace.com/en/hodoyoshi-1-images/taranaki-new-zealand_/, CC BY-SA 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=49858059

Up to 40% of rural roads and 45% of bridges around Taranaki Mounga could be affected if the volcano erupts. Researchers modelled how the rural region is linked up through its farms, marae, towns and the local airport to see how disruptive a future eruption could be to keeping the community connected. Modelling for a large eruption found 12 marae and 5000 farms could become isolated for up to weeks or even months due to ashfall and lahars damaging roads and bridges, which would have significant social and economic consequences for the region and Aotearoa.

Media release

From:

Comment from study co-author Heather Craig, Lecturer, School of Earth and Environment, University of Canterbury:

"Rural communities and farms are highly reliant on road networks for a range of essential services, like accessing medical care, schooling and fuel as well as transporting their farm products (such as milk) for processing. Globally, agriculture is often found around volcanoes because of the fertile soils they produce over long time periods, leading to many agricultural communities being highly exposed to volcanic impacts including road network disruption and isolation. Taranaki is an example of this, where farms, roads, marae, and communities are found the volcanic plain surrounding the mounga.

"Isolation of people from their cultural centres and hubs can reduce the resilience of a community during eruptions. This is particularly important in Aotearoa, where marae are recognised as a critical part of disaster response and recovery. Marae often open their doors to provide manaakitanga (support) to communities during disaster due to their physical capacity and tikanga (customs and practices) to host and coordinate large gatherings of people.

"We developed a network model to assess the whether farms and marae were isolated from service towns, regional exit routes, and the New Plymouth Airport and Port. Whilst applied locally in this study, the model methods could be applied in volcanic settings globally. We found that for a large Taranaki Mounga eruption scenario, 12 marae and over 5,000 farms were isolated potentially for many weeks due to ashfall and lahars damaging roads and bridges. This would have significant social and economic consequences for the region and Aotearoa."

Journal/
conference:
New Zealand Journal of Geology and Geophysics
Research:Paper
Organisation/s: University of Canterbury
Funder: We would like to acknowledge the funding support from the New Zealand Government’s Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment (MBIE) under the ‘He Mounga Puia: Puea Rū, Puea Kōrero’ Endeavour Research Programme (contract UOAX1913) and the Resilience to Nature’s Challenges (RNC) Volcano (contract GNS-RNC047) and Rural (contract GNSRNC045) programmes. These three fund are all sub-funds from https://ror.org/02jtq1b51
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