Economic modelling shows trying to eliminate COVID-19 may be our best approach

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Australia; VIC
Credit Philip Mallis, Flickr https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/
Credit Philip Mallis, Flickr https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Modelling on the health and economic impacts of how we deal with a COVID-19 outbreak in Victoria suggests that a strategy aimed at eliminating the virus from the community produces the least health losses and usually the fewest GDP losses. The study compared the likely outcomes of policies of aggressive elimination (such as those of New Zealand and Victoria in 2020) and compared it with moderate elimination (such as those of New South Wales), tight suppression (such as South Korea and Singapore) and loose suppression (eg, the United Kingdom). They found that an elimination strategy, where possible, was optimal in 2020. They say going forward, maintaining something like an elimination approach until herd immunity (or approaching it) is achieved through vaccination will most likely be optimal.

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Research JAMA, Web page Please link to the article in online versions of your report (the URL will go live after the embargo ends).
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conference:
JAMA Health Forum
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Organisation/s: The University of Melbourne, University of Otago
Funder: An anonymous philanthropic donation to the University of Melbourne supported the completion of this work.
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