Global progress on chronic disease deaths has been slowing

Publicly released:
Australia; International
Photo by Bret Kavanaugh on Unsplash
Photo by Bret Kavanaugh on Unsplash

About 80% of countries around the world saw the rate of deaths from chronic diseases decline from 2010 to 2019 but progress is slowing in most countries, according to an international analysis. The researchers analysed the rate of deaths from non-communicable diseases including cancer, diabetes, heart, kidney and liver diseases and neurological conditions across 185 countries. For Australian men, the researchers say the probability of dying from one of these diseases before 80 decreased by 8% from 2001-2010 to 35.6%, but from 2010 to 2019 that number only fell a further 3.6% to 32%. For Australian, women, the probability decreased by 4.7% from 2001-2010 to 23.9%, and then further decreased by 2.1% to 21.8% from 2010-2019.

Media release

From: The Lancet

The Lancet: Chronic disease deaths decline globally, but progress is slowing

Death rates from chronic diseases have fallen in four out of five countries around the world in the last decade - but progress has slowed, suggests an analysis published in The Lancet.

In recent decades there have been many global and national political pledges and plans to improve prevention and treatment of chronic diseases (also called non-communicable diseases - NCDs), such as cancer, cardiovascular disease, diabetes, kidney disease, liver disease, neurological conditions and others. This includes the UN Sustainable Development Goal of reducing premature mortality from NCDs by one-third by 2030.

This study is believed to be the first global analysis to not only track changes in NCD mortality at the national level but also benchmark progress against historical performance and the regional best-performers.

The analysis suggests deaths from chronic diseases has fallen in nearly 80% of countries in the last decade. However almost two thirds of all countries – including nearly all high-income countries in Europe, north America, Australasia and the Pacific – experienced a slowdown in the rate of decline for mortality in 2010 to 2019 compared to the previous decade. The United States was one of the worst performers, experiencing the smallest decrease in risk over 2010-2019

Ahead of the upcoming Fourth High-level Meeting of the UN General Assembly [1], authors say these trends show an urgent need for greater investment in tackling chronic diseases and ensuring approaches effectively reach people most in need.

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The Lancet
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Organisation/s: Imperial College London, UK
Funder: This work was funded by the UK Medical Research Council (grant number MR/V034057/1), by the National Institutes for Health and Care Research (NIHR) through the NIHR Imperial Biomedical Research Centre and by NCD Alliance
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