Image by PDPics from Pixabay
Image by PDPics from Pixabay

EXPERT REACTION: 230,000 deaths prevented by cancer control measures in Australia since the mid-1980s

Embargoed until: Publicly released:
Peer-reviewed: This work was reviewed and scrutinised by relevant independent experts.

Observational study: A study in which the subject is observed to see if there is a relationship between two or more things (eg: the consumption of diet drinks and obesity). Observational studies cannot prove that one thing causes another, only that they are linked.

People: This is a study based on research using people.

Cancer control measures have prevented 230,000 deaths in Australia since the mid-1980s, according to Aussie research. The researchers say that we are seeing the benefits of investments made in cancer control over the many decades, especially in the number of lung cancer deaths, which have been dropping since the 1980s, reflecting the success of anti-smoking campaigns. See what Aussie experts have to say below.

Journal/conference: Australian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health

Research: Paper

Organisation/s: Cancer Council Victoria, The University of Melbourne, Baker Heart and Diabetes Institute, Monash University

Funder: None.

Media release

From: Cancer Council Victoria

New research reveals decades of cancer control efforts paying off

Research by Cancer Council Victoria’s Cancer Epidemiology Division published in the Australian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health has revealed more than 230,000 lives have been saved from the impact of cancer control measures implemented since about the 1960s.

These figures prove the importance of sustained cancer control investment in both primary and secondary prevention, as the Australian health care sector prepares for cancer incidence to increase by about 50 per cent between 2020 and 2044.

Using data from the World Health Organization’s Global Cancer Observatory (GLOBOCAN), researchers from Cancer Council Victoria and the University of Calgary analysed age-standardised cancer mortality rates from 1950 to 2018, finding more than 230,000 deaths have been avoided to date.

Sixty-five per cent of the avoided deaths occurred in the final 10 years of the study period (between 2009 to 2018), showing progress in the fight against cancer has accelerated and continued.

Deputy Head of Cancer Epidemiology at Cancer Council Victoria and lead researcher Associate Professor Brigid Lynch said the study was about better understanding the real-world impacts of decades of Australian cancer-control methods.

“What we’re seeing is a snowball effect – we’re now seeing the result of investments made in cancer control over the many decades,” Associate Professor Lynch said.

Associate Professor Lynch said there was a substantial decrease in the mortality from lung cancer, rates of which have been dropping since the 1980s, reflecting the success of anti-smoking campaigns.

“Quit campaigns in the 1980s impacted smoking prevalence and led to a drop in lung cancer deaths,” she said.

“We’ve also seen the mortality rate drop markedly for breast, cervical and stomach cancer.

“While we know more women are diagnosed with breast cancer today because of increased screening, thanks to early detection and improved treatment options, that mortality rate is falling.”

But not all cancers are following this trend – Associate Professor Lynch said their research found the mortality rates for liver and brain cancer were continuing to rise.

“These are trends we’ve seen both in Australia as well as around the world,” she said.

More than half of liver cancer cases are caused by long-term infection of the hepatitis B or C viruses, with an increase in testing critical to saving lives; however, Cancer Council Victoria is leading efforts to improve screening and community education as well as implementing advocacy work for populations at high risks.

Cancer Council Victoria is also leading the world’s largest study of risk factors into glioma, an aggressive form of brain cancer.

“If we can better identify this cancer’s risk factors, we can work to reduce mortality and incidence through prevention measures,” she said.

Associate Professor Lynch said the findings published in the Australian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health help play a role in directing priorities for cancer control strategies.

“It's vital that society increases investment in cancer prevention and early detection efforts to help save lives,” she said.

“We are anticipating a significant increase of cancer incidence over the coming years due to our ageing and growing population.

“Prevention is the only way we can reduce the health, social and economic burden of cancer and protect our health care system.”

-END-

Expert Reaction

These comments have been collated by the Science Media Centre to provide a variety of expert perspectives on this issue. Feel free to use these quotes in your stories. Views expressed are the personal opinions of the experts named. They do not represent the views of the SMC or any other organisation unless specifically stated.

Terry Slevin is CEO of the Public Health Association of Australia and an Adjunct Professor at both Curtin University and ANU

“We are delighted this important research will be published in the Public Health Association of Australia’s journal, The Australian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health
 
This study quantifies Australian public health successes in tobacco control, skin cancer prevention, the HPV vaccine which prevents cervical and other cancers, and screening programs for breast, bowel and cervical cancer. 
 
The challenge is to continue and bolster these successful programs, bring in new initiatives, like lung cancer screening which has just commenced, and do more to reduce known risk factors like obesity.
 
The best cancer is the one you never got, so prevention is our best option. When we don’t know how to do that, finding it early enough to treat at an early stage is the next best choice.   And if there is no good test, the best possible treatment is the final defence.
 
And of course, ongoing research is essential to learn how to do all these things better and underpins real cancer control.”

Last updated: 11 Jul 2025 3:13pm
Declared conflicts of interest:
Terry is the CEO of the Public Health Association of Australia, which has published this paper

Professor Finlay Macrae AO is a Gastroenterologist at the Royal Melbourne Hospital

Accounting for deaths avoided is a difficult measurement exercise. This analysis of Australian data is encouraging and underpins the need for public health advocacy to mitigate risk factors and engage in population-based screening and vaccination. The cost-benefit of avoiding 230,000 deaths, mostly represented as cures, must support further investment in primary and secondary prevention programs including the National Cancer Screening Programs in Australia.

Last updated: 07 Jul 2025 11:29am
Declared conflicts of interest:
None
Professor Adrian Esterman is Chair of Biostatistics at the University of South Australia

A study led by the Cancer Council of Victoria, and just published in the Australian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health, found that over 230,000 Australian lives have been saved since the 1980s due to coordinated cancer control efforts. These gains stem from advances in prevention, screening, and treatment. Although cancer remains Australia’s leading cause of death—accounting for about 17% of the national disease burden—the individual risk of dying from cancer has dropped sharply. Since the 1980s, the risk has fallen by 11% for women and 20% for men.

Key factors include:

  • Tobacco control: Lung cancer deaths in men have dropped since the early 1980s, and later for women, due to anti-smoking campaigns.
  • Screening programs: Cervical cancer deaths have declined since the 1960s thanks to screening and HPV vaccination. Breast cancer mortality began to fall in the late 1980s with mammography and better treatments. Colorectal cancer deaths have decreased since the 2006 National Bowel Cancer Screening Program.
  • Improved treatments: Advances in chemotherapy, targeted therapies, immunotherapies, and surgical techniques have boosted survival rates.

However, liver cancer deaths have more than tripled since the 1980s, mainly due to obesity, alcohol use, and metabolic disease. The study calls for continued investment in prevention, early detection, and new treatments for cancer.

Australia has seen several major recent advances in cancer screening, control and treatment. These include a new national lung cancer screening program, an expanded nation bowel cancer screening program, enhanced reading of mammograms using AI, and improved treatments, including advances in targeted therapy and immunotherapy. These will ensure the downward trend in cancer deaths continues.

Last updated: 04 Jul 2025 1:16pm
Declared conflicts of interest:
None declared.

News for:

Australia
International
VIC
SA

Media contact details for this story are only visible to registered journalists.