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Modelling song popularity as a contagious process
Popular songs are often described as ‘contagious’, ‘infectious’ or ‘viral’ — but what if these terms are more accurate than we think? What if songs actually do spread through populations the same way that diseases do? In this study, our goal was to understand the social mechanisms that drive song popularity using a mathematical model of infectious disease spread. We find that this model describes song download trends just as well as it describes infectious disease trends. This implies that the social processes driving song popularity could be similar to those that cause diseases to spread.
Sick tunes - Can you infect friends with your music taste? This study used a model of disease spread to analyse song downloads from a streaming site in Britain between 2007 and 2014 and found the model describes song downloads and infectious disease trends just as well - especially in the fast-spreading genre of Electronica. This may be because Electronica fans are more connected than listeners to more common genres with larger and broader communities, the authors suggest.