Sydney has grown like a tumour, spreading along transport lines

Publicly released:
Australia; International; NSW
Photo by Jamie Davies on Unsplash
Photo by Jamie Davies on Unsplash

A model of the growth and spread of Sydney and London shows that these cities develop in a similar way to biological systems, like the way cancers grow with new blood vessels. They found an initial phase of limited growth around the city centre, followed by the development of the railway transport network and a consequential shift from central to suburban living. The authors say this is similar to tumours and blood vessels where a cancer will grow locally and then new blood vessels will form and the tumour will spread and develop into solid malignant tumours. This sort of model of city behaviour could help predict and optimise how cities will develop in the future, the authors say.

Media release

From: The Royal Society

City growth The angiogenic growth of cities
URL after publication: https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsif.2023.0657

·         A complete understanding of the dynamics of urban growth is needed to describe the space-time evolution of cities and encourage sustainable urban planning. By considering the feedbacks between transport network and population growth, we reconstruct the evolution of London (UK) an Sydney (Australia) to show that urban growth consists of an initial phase of diffusion-limited growth, followed by the development of the railway transport network and a consequential shift from central to suburban living. We show that the rail system co-evolves with urban population, displaying patterns that are similar to the growth of biological systems (e.g. vascular networks). Contact: Professor Gabriele Manoli, Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne, gabriele.manoli@epfl.ch, Telephone: +41 21 693 34 50

City growth – A model of London’s ‘tumour-like’ growth along a vascular network of railway lines could help optimise sustainable urban planning. Scientists reconstructed London’s growth over 180 years, showing populations initially clustered around the city centre, until the railway system drove a shift to suburban living. The pattern, akin to the vascular development of tumours, was also seen in models of Sydney, Australia. This confirms transport network evolution as important features of sustainable, healthier cities

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Research The Royal Society, Web page Please link to the article in online versions of your report (the URL will go live after the embargo ends).
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conference:
Journal of the Royal Society Interface
Research:Paper
Organisation/s: The University of Sydney, University College London, UK, Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne, Switzerland
Funder: G.M. and I.C.T. acknowledge the support of The Branco Weiss Fellowship–Society in Science administered by ETH Zurich.
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