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Health: Protein markers may identify individuals at risk for dementia years before diagnosis
Plasma proteins that may be used to predict the risk of developing all-cause dementia (ACD), Alzheimer’s disease (AD) and vascular dementia (VaD) more than 10 years before diagnosis are reported in a study published in Nature Aging.
Previous studies have examined the role of plasma proteins as biomarkers for predicting long-term dementia risk in healthy adults, but many have focused on one or a small number of proteins or lacked a dataset as large as the UK Biobank. They have also neglected how these proteins may predict the onset of diseases such as ACD, AD or VaD over long spans of time (such as a decade). Large-scale studies with data on blood plasma biomarkers and specific dementias, and follow-up on a decadal scale, are therefore required.
Jin-Tai Yu, Jian-Feng Feng, Wei Cheng and colleagues performed a detailed study of UK Biobank proteome data to identify plasma biomarkers associated with dementia prediction and explore their potential to predict future ACD, AD and VaD. The authors included data from 52,645 participants without dementias in their study. Over the course of the follow up period (median 14.1 years), 1,417 participants were diagnosed with dementias (833 within 10 years (including 219 within 5 years) and 584 beyond 10 years). Of 1,463 plasma proteins included in the analysis, the authors found that GFAP, NEFL, GDF15 and LTBP2 were consistently associated with incident ACD, AD and VaD.
From this, Yu and co-authors produced a predictive model for ACD, AD and VaD risk over the course of 10 years. Proteins (such as GFAP) that were previously known to be associated with dementia were found to have high predictive value in the model. The authors also highlight that GFAP levels begin to change about 10 years before diagnosis, which raises the possibility that GFAP could be a potential biomarker for early risk assessment. However, Yu and colleagues note that this research has not been validated in an independent and external cohort.