NZ stomach cancer cases to increase by over 40% by 2045

Publicly released:
New Zealand
Photo by Sasun Bughdaryan on Unsplash
Photo by Sasun Bughdaryan on Unsplash

NZ researchers expect stomach cancer cases to rise by the middle of the century, with Māori and Pacific peoples expected to bear the brunt of the increase. The study authors created a model which estimates cases could rise from about 492 per year in 2022 to 725 by 2045. Cases in people aged 75 and over are expected to double, which researchers say could put extra pressure on health services due to higher levels of illnesses in older patients. The researchers say a significant number of stomach cancer cases could be prevented by treating Helicobacter pylori infections, which are usually acquired in childhood through household overcrowding.

News release

From: NZMJ

Cases of stomach cancer in Aotearoa New Zealand are projected to increase by nearly 50% by 2045, rising from around 500 to over 700 cases per year. Māori and Pacific peoples, who alreadyexperience the highest rates of stomach cancer, are projected to see their case numbers nearly double over this period. A significant share of this burden could be prevented through programmes that test and treat Helicobacter pylori, a bacterial infection usually acquired in childhood, that is one of the leading causes of stomach cancer and is more common in communities affected by overcrowding and socio-economic deprivation. Meeting future service demands will require early regional planning for diagnostic and surgical services. Equity must be central to this response, as Māori and Pacific peoples face well-documented barriers to timely diagnosis and care that increased service capacity alone will not resolve.

Journal/
conference:
NZMJ
Research:Paper
Organisation/s: Te Whatu Ora - Health New Zealand, University of Auckland
Funder: N/A
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