Expert Reaction

EXPERT REACTION: More than half of heart disease cases worldwide linked to lifestyle

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International scientists, including Australians, in the Global Cardiovascular Risk Consortium say more than half of cardiovascular diseases worldwide are linked to five factors that are a result of unhealthy lifestyles - being overweight, high blood pressure, high cholesterol, smoking, and diabetes. They found high blood pressure is the biggest contributor to heart attacks and strokes. The team used health records of 1.5 million people from 34 countries, including Australia, to reach their conclusions. The contribution of each of these five factors varied between countries, they say. Latin America and Eastern Europe saw the biggest impact of smoking, and North Africa and the Middle East were most impacted by diabetes.

Media release

From: Universitätsklinikum Hamburg-Eppendorf (UKE), Germany

Worldwide study provides new approaches in preventing cardiovascular diseases

Modifiable risk factors responsible for half of cardiovascular diseases

Scientists of the Global Cardiovascular Risk Consortium under the auspices of the Department of Cardiology at the University Heart & Vascular Center of the Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf (UKE) and the German Center for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK) have proven that the five classic cardiovascular risk factors overweight, high blood pressure, high cholesterol, smoking, and diabetes mellitus are directly connected to more than half of all cardiovascular diseases worldwide. High blood pressure is the most significant factor for the occurrence of heart attacks and strokes. The study’s results were published today in the New England Journal of Medicine and are based on the data of 1.5 million persons from 34 countries.

Cardiovascular diseases cause approximately a third of all deaths worldwide. They often develop silently over decades. Frequently without being recognised, the vascular walls change, giving rise to arteriosclerosis, in the wake of which coronary heart disease may occur, including complications such as heart attacks, acute cardiac death, or strokes. “Our study clearly shows that over half of all heart attacks and strokes are avoidable by checking and treating the classic risk factors. These results are of the highest significance for strengthening prevention in this area. At the same time, approximately 45 percent of all cardiovascular cases cannot be explained with these risk factors; they should motivate us and the academic funders to further research efforts,” says Professor Doctor Stefan Blankenberg, the medical director of the University Heart & Vascular Center at the UKE.

The Global Cardiovascular Risk Consortium assessed the individual-level data of 1.5 million persons who took part in 112 cohort studies and originate from the eight geographical regions North America, Latin America, Western Europe, Eastern Europe and Russia, North Africa and the Middle East, Sub-Saharan Africa, Asia, and Australia. The objective of the study was to gain a better understanding of the global distribution, the significance of the individual risk factors and their effects on cardiovascular diseases, and overall mortality in order to derive targeted preventive measures.

“In principle, the five classic risk factors that we examined are modifiable, and thus responsive to preventive measures. So far, the proportion of preventable risk attributed to these five risk factors is still matter of debate,” lead author and associate professor Dr. Christina Magnussen, Department of Cardiology at the University Heart & Vascular Center of the UKE, explains.

Regional differences in risk factors

The study showed differences in the eight global regions regarding the frequency of the risk factors. The scientists saw the highest rates for overweight in Latin America, and the highest values for high blood pressure and high cholesterol in Europe. The risk factor smoking is particularly decisive in Latin America and Eastern Europe, diabetes mellitus in North Africa and in the Middle East. All five risk factors combined (overweight, high blood pressure, high cholesterol, smoking, and diabetes mellitus) amount to 57.2 per cent of women’s cardiovascular risk and to 52.6 per cent of men’s. Thus, a substantial share of cardiovascular risk remains unexplained. In comparison, the five risk factors merely account for about 20 per cent of the risk to die (overall mortality).

Furthermore, the study also clearly shows a linear relation between high blood pressure, and high cholesterol, and the occurrence of cardiovascular diseases. The higher the values, the higher the likelihood of the occurrence of cardiovascular diseases. This result applies to all examined regions in the world. The scientists also identified a remarkable connection between cholesterol levels and overall mortality: Very low as well as high cholesterol levels increase overall mortality.

The significance of all risk factors decreases with age; e.g., high blood pressure is more damaging to a forty than an eighty-year-old. The body mass index (BMI) is the only exception and remains equally significant at any age. “This raises the question to which extent the target values for treating cardiovascular risk factors for the most elderly should be identical with those for the middle to older age bracket,” says Professor Blankenberg.

Study identifies extensive range of starting points for preventive measures

The study provides an extensive dataset to avoid cardiovascular diseases or reduce their effects for at-risk persons, or patients with cardiovascular diseases, by improving their lifestyle and by lowering blood pressure or cholesterol. “High systolic blood pressure accounts for the largest share of cardiovascular risk. We should place a particular focus on the therapy of patients with high blood pressure to avoid cardiovascular diseases as much as possible,” says associate professor Dr. Magnussen.

Expert Reaction

These comments have been collated by the Science Media Centre to provide a variety of expert perspectives on this issue. Feel free to use these quotes in your stories. Views expressed are the personal opinions of the experts named. They do not represent the views of the SMC or any other organisation unless specifically stated.

Professor Alta Schutte is a Professorial Fellow at The George Institute for Global Health and SHARP Professor and Principal Theme Lead: Cardiac, Vascular and Metabolic Medicine at UNSW Sydney

It has been a remarkable experience to be part of the newly established Global Cardiovascular Risk Consortium, and honour to be part of the Management Group. This massive undertaking harmonised data from over 1.5 million people across cohort studies from 34 countries. We were able to evaluate associations of the five major risk factors with incident cardiovascular disease and all-cause deaths, namely body mass index, systolic blood pressure, cholesterol, smoking and diabetes.

With my personal keen interest in improving blood pressure control in Australia and globally (also as Co-Chair of the Hypertension Taskforce of Australia), it was remarkable to see in this study that high systolic blood pressure was again identified to 'offer the greatest potential for cardiovascular disease prevention'. Elevated systolic blood pressure appeared to be the largest contributor to CVD development in all eight geographic regions represented in the study.

Last updated:  25 Aug 2023 1:04pm
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Declared conflicts of interest Professor Schutte is an author on the paper.

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Research Massachusetts Medical Society, Web page The URL will go live after the embargo ends
Journal/
conference:
New England Journal of Medicine
Research:Paper
Organisation/s: The University of Queensland, The University of Melbourne, Baker Heart and Diabetes Institute, The University of Sydney, George Institute for Global Health, The University of New South Wales
Funder: Funded by the German Center for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK); ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT05466825.
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