BACKGROUND BRIEFING: Getting your head around the Doherty Institute-led modelling

Embargoed until: Publicly released: 2021-09-20 09:15

Australia; VIC; WA

*RECORDING AVAILABLE* The Doherty Institute-led modelling consortium has updated its advice on Australia's National COVID plan to recommend that case numbers continue to be strongly suppressed through Phase B until 80% coverage is reached. The modelling now takes into account likely outcomes if COVID-19 infection is already established in the community at low (tens of cases), medium (hundreds of cases), and high case numbers (thousands of cases). The original modelling report compared outbreaks that were seeded with 30 cases at a time, however, some states are now reporting over 1000 cases a day. The briefing will bring together the modellers behind this updated report to answer your questions.

Media release

From: Australian Science Media Centre

The Doherty Institute-led modelling consortium has updated its advice on Australia's National COVID plan to recommend that case numbers continue to be strongly suppressed through Phase B until 80% coverage is reached. The modelling now takes into account likely outcomes if COVID-19 infection is already established in the community at low (tens of cases), medium (hundreds of cases), and high case numbers (thousands of cases). The original modelling report compared outbreaks that were seeded with 30 cases at a time, however, some states are now reporting over 1000 cases a day.

The briefing will bring together the modellers behind this updated report to answer your questions.

Speakers:

Professor Jodie McVernon, Director of Doherty Epidemiology, Doherty Institute
Professor James McCaw, Professor in Mathematical Biology, University of Melbourne
Professor Nick Golding, Curtin School of Population Health, Curtin University and Telethon Kids
Freya Shearer, Senior Research Fellow, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne
Dr Michael Lydeamore, Research Fellow, Infectious Diseases at Monash University

Date: Mon 20 September 2021
Start Time: 14:30 AEST
Duration: Approx 45 min
Venue: Online - Zoom

Attachments

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Media Release Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, Web page

Briefing recording Australian Science Media Centre, Web page Briefing recording playback

Journal/
conference:

Organisation/s: Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, The University of Melbourne, Curtin University, Monash University, Telethon Kids Institute

Funder: N/A

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