EXPERT REACTION: At what age does IVF stop being cost effective?

Publicly released:
Australia; VIC
DrKontogianniIVF, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons
DrKontogianniIVF, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons

IVF treatments are futile when they have less than a 0.3 per cent chance of resulting in a living baby - which occurs when women are between 47 and 49 years of age, according to Australian research.  The Australian researchers conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis of IVF using a measure called "quality-adjusted life years (QALYs)". Using this measure they found that if a cycle of IVF in Australia has less than a 0.3 per cent chance of producing a live birth, it is no longer cost-effective. This translates to a cut off age of between 47 and 49 years for IVF in Australia, which is higher than standard practice of stopping IVF between the ages of 45 and 46 years.

Expert Reaction

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Associate Professor Alex Polyakov is a Clinical Associate Professor in the Faculty of Medicine, Dentistry and Health Sciences at the University of Melbourne and is a Medical Director at Genea Fertility Melbourne

When does a treatment become futile and should not be offered for that reason? This is an important medical, economic and ethical question that sometimes is difficult to answer.

Our paper focuses on fertility treatments, specifically in vitro fertilisation. It is generally accepted that some women and couples may have such low chance of success that IVF should not be offered, but what chance is that low is not immediately apparent.

All medical decisions, especially related to withholding treatment should have an objective ethical basis. To this end, we attempted to define futility in the sphere of fertility treatments, utilising conventional cost-benefit analysis based on the concept of Quality-Adjusted Life-Years (QALY).

We argued that IVF should be treated like any other medical intervention and its outcome, i.e. the birth of a healthy child, can be assessed using conventional metrics, widely accepted in other areas of health care.

The novelty of our approach is primarily based on the assertion that a child born as a result of IVF produces a net gain in QALYs and this can be translated into a monetary value, which can in turn be used to assess the cost-effectiveness of IVF treatments, in order to define futility.

Last updated:  21 Mar 2022 2:41pm
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Declared conflicts of interest Alex is lead author of the research.

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Research Oxford University Press, Web page Please link to the article in online versions of your report
Journal/
conference:
Human Reproduction
Research:Paper
Organisation/s: The University of Melbourne, Murdoch Children's Research Institute (MCRI)
Funder: A.P. is a fertility specialist and holds a non-controlling Interest (equity) in Virtus Health. J.S. is supported by the Wellcome Trust (WT203132). He is a Bioethics Committee Member for Bayer Pharmaceutical Company and a partner on a grant co-funded by Illumina, but no funds are received by him or his Institution from this grant. There are no other conflicts of interest to declare.
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